Showing posts with label Rasmussen Poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rasmussen Poll. Show all posts

A Case of Buyer's Remorse?



Democrats seem to be having a bad case of buyer's remorse.

The number of rank-and-file Democrats that want Hillary Clinton to drop out is decreasing--even asLeftipundits, the Mainstream Media and Obamatunists grow increasingly frantic in their calls (pleas) for Hillary Clinton to bow out and let Barack Obama wrap up the anointment as Democrat nominee.

In the last several weeks, the closer the junior senator from Illinois gets to representing the Democrats in November, the more that ordinary, working Democrats have resisted the advice of their betters in the party.

As Barack Obama inches closer to formally wrapping up the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the number of Democrats who want Hillary Clinton to drop out of the race has declined. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 32% of Democrats now think Clinton should withdraw from the race. That’s down from 38% who wanted her to exit the race just ten days ago. A month ago, 34% thought she should leave the race.

One of the few advantages to the endless campaign cycle is that voters have had a chance to observe the brittle-fication of Obama. It's a change from a cult leader/rock star--feeding the swaying masses a nebulous gruel smothered under a layer of peppermint-fresh government cheese to cover up the liberal stink--to an easily-offended, put-upon member of the victim class.



Apparently, Obama, the man behind the curtain, is not so nearly as attractive as the airy, above-the-political-fray candidate who announced in February 2007.

One suspects this has less to do with a sudden revelation that Hillary Clinton is a better candidate than Democrats first thought and more with a steep educational curve which has opened the eyes of the Democrat electorate.
A Rasmussen Reports analysis two weeks ago indicated that the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination is effectively over and that Obama will be the nominee. Rasmussen Markets currently suggests that Obama has an 92.2 % chance of winning the nomination. However, the strong and committed support for Clinton means that Obama is now entering the most perilous phase of his candidacy. The way in which he resolves the challenge with Clinton could determine who wins in November.

The Rasmussen poll figures indicate that 3% of the Democrats surveyed want both Obama and Clinton to drop out. This causes two observations. First, that there may be 3% of the Democrats think neither candidate is liberal or progressive enough. Or, that 3% of the Democrats think neither candidate is conservative enough.

We call the voters of the last scenario: Republicans. That three percent could easily be the margin of victory in November.

Call it a "victory for buyer's remorse".


by Mondoreb

hat tip: Hot Air
Sources:
* Fewer Democrats Want Hillary to Drop Out
* bostoncondogroup

Elections are colorful, whether in Turkey or the USA

The view from the cheap seats: or how the lower echelon in both parties are doing these days. The new Rasmussen Poll offers little change among the second-tier candidates of both parties.

According to the Democratic poll, the second ranks look like this.
Bill Richardson attracts 4% while Dennis Kucinich is at 2% along with Joe Biden. Chris Dodd earns 1% and Mike Gravel is below that level while 12% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters are undecided.
Meanwhile, the backbench of the Republican side look like this:
Ron Paul is at 2%, Tom Tancredo at 2% and Duncan Hunter’s support rounds up to 1%. Seventeen percent (17%) are undecided.

The front-runners ebb and flow with the times. No matter how much each candidates' spinners spin, little is likely to change, barring some unforeseen events, until the primaries. For Republicans:
For the seven days ending October 28, 2007 show that Rudy Giuliani earns 21% of the vote while Fred Thompson attracts 18%. John McCain is the favorite for 14% while Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are tied at 12%.
The Big Three threatens to turn into the Big Two. Or maybe just the Big One.
For the seven days ending October 28, 2007, Hillary Clinton earns 44% of the vote. Barack Obama is second at 20% followed by John Edwards at 14%.

For the second tier, hope rests in someone else dropping out, raising more money than expected or picking up a powerhouse endorsement. Anything that can help build a little momentum and keep supporters flush with hope.

If Richardson, Kucinich, Biden, Dodd and Gravel pooled their poll supporters at this point, they'd ring up less than 10%--not as much as Undecided.

If Paul, Hunter and Tancredo joined forces they'd command about 6%. Of course, Mike Huckabee's recent jump to 12% would have helped. And it did: it gives them hope that they can make the jump also.

Sam Brownback dropped out and no one in the second-tier seemed to be the beneficiary.

There's a long way to go yet. The elections are still more than a year in the future. That there's that much time left is reason for the second stringers to hope all by itself.

by Mondoreb
[image:hsingy]

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Ron Paul Vs. Hillary Clinton.

Is it David vs. Goliath? The Fight of the Century? The Underdog and the Behemoth?

The headline promises long-concealed information just now coming to light: the story delivers something else: a bland look at how many Americans have opinions of Hillary Clinton vs. how many have heard of Ron Paul
More from the merry pollsters at Rasmussen:

A recent Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey featuring a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Ron Paul highlights one of the perils that comes from overanalyzing poll results between candidates with different levels of name recognition.

In that survey, Clinton held a fairly modest 48% to 38% lead. But, a careful look at the results tells us a lot about the public’s opinion of Hillary Clinton and virtually nothing about their opinion of Ron Paul.
The story goes on to say what is well-known: more Americans have heard of a former first lady than of a Congressman from Texas.
Why? First, because just about everyone in the United States has an opinion of Hillary Clinton. She has been a major player on the national and international state for 15 years. Half the country has a favorable opinion of her and half holds the opposite view, but all have an opinion. Our most recent survey results show that nearly 60% of voters have a strongly held opinion about the New York Senator and former First Lady.

As for Ron Paul, 42% don’t know enough about him to have an opinion one way or the other. He’s one of 435 Congressman whose life is way below the radar screen for most Americans. Still, his presence in the GOP Presidential Debates has raised his profile a bit--26% now offer a favorable opinion and 32% say the opposite. But, only 16% have a strongly held opinion about Paul (7% Very Favorable, 9% Very Unfavorable).
The reaction to this "news" will be predictable: the Ron Paulistas will shout it out that it's proof their man is the Great Bright Hope; the equally-rabid anti-Paulistinians will paste it up as more proof that Paul is getting too much attention. It's getting so there is a definite negative element to covering any news of Ron Paul. Even more so for the disinterested observer trying to play it straight.

Us? We thought about it and decided to comment on this story instead of this weekend's NFL games.

Barely.

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by Mondoreb